Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 6.601154 7.236500 7.923148 8.723267 9.633611 10.641375 11.847225
2026-02-01 5.659410 6.491210 7.446391 8.634233 10.085590 11.819331 14.074764
2026-02-08 5.058159 5.976894 7.075437 8.503766 10.338771 12.655271 15.864211
2026-02-15 4.596193 5.557243 6.743157 8.340582 10.478036 13.302856 17.431308
2026-02-22 4.277775 5.275303 6.540245 8.297921 10.736968 14.098022 19.262532
2026-03-01 3.928483 4.919892 6.204345 8.033942 10.648711 14.378187 20.355589
2026-03-08 3.589906 4.551821 5.819795 7.662761 10.361382 14.322912 20.904274
2026-03-15 3.375881 4.334546 5.620728 7.529455 10.395973 14.733860 22.223685
2026-03-22 3.420058 4.468887 5.911305 8.116057 11.549943 16.982890 26.920514
2026-03-29 3.331677 4.410738 5.922591 8.285963 12.071774 18.274521 30.158967
2026-04-05 3.152229 4.212060 5.716764 8.107226 12.015363 18.585375 31.619142
2026-04-12 3.067234 4.144063 5.697327 8.213470 12.430690 19.749110 34.916612
2026-04-19 2.916303 3.976114 5.524959 8.074934 12.439157 20.220314 36.970368
2026-04-26 2.788615 3.836357 5.387581 7.983215 12.520359 20.836548 39.458777
2026-05-03 2.665631 3.697051 5.242183 7.866155 12.542856 21.338446 41.784775
2026-05-10 2.545331 3.555888 5.085810 7.718850 12.495388 21.693930 43.837425
2026-05-17 2.458176 3.461288 4.997495 7.680335 12.643296 22.457259 47.040185
2026-05-24 2.334156 3.304152 4.801225 7.441858 12.392550 22.363062 48.044686
2026-05-31 2.197556 3.122303 4.557292 7.106110 11.929883 21.771598 47.633131
2026-06-07 2.113462 3.019976 4.438489 6.985405 11.876871 22.062031 49.689359
2026-06-14 2.162737 3.130657 4.674454 7.516067 13.163066 25.500536 61.636917
2026-06-21 2.136516 3.118420 4.703855 7.669537 13.696753 27.294960 69.285059
2026-06-28 2.054875 3.012762 4.569774 7.508087 13.553955 27.440727 71.627607